Here are the scenarios by which Pakistan can finish ahead of New Zealand for semi finals.
If Pakistan get to bat second against Bangladesh, they have zero chance of qualifying for semi-finals.
If Pakistan get the chance to bat first, they need to defeat Bangladesh by a margin of 300 runs. If Pakistan score 300 then they need to bowl out Bangladesh for 0.
If Pakistan bat first and they make 400 then they need to dismiss Bangladesh for 84 runs and win by 316 runs in order to finish above New Zealand. One more scenario is, Pakistan bat first and dismiss opponent for 38 runs and win by 312 runs.
The possibility of these scenarios to become a reality are next to impossible, which means that practically Pakistan have no hope of qualifying for semi-final but mathematically it is still in the race.
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